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Apa itu kalender ekonomi?
Kalender ekonomi, juga dikenal sebagai kalender ekonomi Forex atau Kalender FX, adalah alat yang memungkinkan para trader membuat analisis fundamental pasar keuangan berdasarkan berita ekonomi. Artinya – Anda akan dapat melihat peristiwa makroekonomi yang menggerakkan pasar dan membuat keputusan trading Forex berdasarkan data.
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Data apa saja yang termasuk dalam kalender ekonomi?
Kalender ekonomi mencakup informasi tentang peristiwa ekonomi besar, serta berita politik dan pengaruhnya terhadap pasar Forex. Semua peristiwa keuangan ini digunakan sebagai indikator ekonomi.
Kalender peristiwa ekonomi juga menunjukkan waktu dan tanggal rilis data indikator, mata uang yang diperkirakan akan terpengaruh, dan tingkat dampak setiap indikator. Sebagian besar indikator memiliki nilai numerik, yang dapat dinyatakan sebagai persentase atau nilai mata uang. Mereka mencerminkan dampak yang dimiliki atau yang akan ditimbulkan oleh indikator tertentu, baik positif maupun negatif.
Kalender ekonomi forex kami memiliki tiga kolom untuk menunjukkan nilai indikator ekonomi: Sebelumnya, Prakiraan, dan Aktual:
- Data sebelumnya menunjukkan nilai indikator pada periode sebelumnya (biasanya, satu bulan atau satu tahun sebelumnya);
- Prakiraan menunjukkan perkiraan nilai indikator berdasarkan survei terhadap 20-240 ekonom;
- Aktual adalah nilai yang dipublikasikan oleh sumber resmi seperti badan statistik nasional atau pusat analitik.
Kami juga memberikan informasi tambahan tentang indikator spesifik dan grafik yang menunjukkan perubahan nilai menurut bulan atau tahun – klik indikator yang Anda minati untuk mempelajari lebih lanjut.
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Bagaimana cara membaca kalender ekonomi?
Terkadang jumlah peristiwa ekonomi yang terjadi saat ini bisa sangat banyak. Jadi, pertama-tama, pastikan untuk menggunakan filter untuk melihat indikator paling relevan untuk trading Forex Anda. Misalnya, Anda dapat memilih mata uang yang Anda rencanakan untuk diperdagangkan atau dampak indikatornya.
Di bagian atas kalender trading Forex kami, pilih zona waktu yang paling cocok.
Gunakan nilai numerik indikator untuk menavigasi perubahan pasar. Inilah sebabnya mengapa perkiraan dan angka rilis aktual sangat penting. Bandingkan angkanya: jika nilai Aktualnya lebih besar dibandingkan prakiraan, ini bagus untuk mata uang dan kemungkinan akan naik harganya; jika nilai Aktualnya lebih rendah dari Prakiraan, berarti akan turun.
Anda dapat mengaplikasikan logika yang serupa untuk melihat nilai Sebelumnya dan Prakiraan bahkan sebelum data dirilis, tapi berhati-hatilah – prakiraan selalu hanya menunjukkan data awal dan angka sebenarnya mungkin berbeda secara drastis.
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Ada indikator ekonomi apa saja yang tersedia?
Indikator ekonomi adalah peristiwa ekonomi utama yang digunakan untuk menafsirkan peluang investasi dalam trading Forex. Biasanya peristiwa ekonomi makro yang mempengaruhi mata uang dan harga saham.
Indikatornya bisa 'tmemimpin/leading' (memprediksi perubahan yang akan datang), 'bertepatan/coincident' (menunjukkan keadaan ekonomi saat ini di area tertentu) dan 'tertinggal/lagging' (mengkonfirmasi pola dan tren).
Indikator ekonomi top:
- Kurva Imbal Hasil AS – menunjukkan rasio antara tagihan perbendaharaan (Treasury bills) jangka pendek dan obligasi perbendaharaan (Treasury bonds) jangka panjang. Indikator tersebut berhasil memprediksi delapan resesi besar dalam beberapa tahun terakhir.
- PDB (Produk Domestik Bruto) – merupakan salah satu metrik paling penting dari kesehatan ekonomi. Ini adalah indikator yang tertinggal, jadi ini menunjukkan apa yang telah terjadi, tetapi bisa menjadi penanda bagus dari resesi yang akan datang.
- Tingkat Pengangguran – ini adalah persentase orang yang mencari pekerjaan dan akan menunjukkan seberapa sehat ketenagakerjaan dan juga perekonomiannya secara umum.
- Suku Bunga – adalah indikator tertinggal lainnya yang menunjukkan pertumbuhan ekonomi. Ini dapat mempengaruhi PDB dan inflasi, jadi waspadalah terhadap dua hal tersebut.
Ini hanyalah beberapa dari sekian indikator penting. Pastikan untuk mengikuti rencana trading harian kami dari para analis FBS untuk mempelajari lebih lanjut tentang berita trading terkini dan bagaimana hal itu akan mempengaruhi trading Forex Anda.
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Bagaimana trading saat rilis berita?
Peristiwa keuangan biasanya dijadwalkan sebelumnya. Biasanya ada prediksi menjelang rilis (kolom Prakiraan pada kalender berita Forex kami) tentang bagaimana mereka akan mempengaruhi pasar. Beberapa trader memilih untuk membuka posisi tergantung pada ekspektasi mereka terhadap laporan indikator ekonomi: jika mereka mengharapkan indikator tertentu untuk menaikkan mata uang, mereka akan membelinya dan begitu pula sebaliknya. Sedangkan sebagian trader lainnya tidak menyukai pergerakan harga yang cepat yang mungkin terjadi saat indikator dirilis, jadi mereka menghindari penggunaan kalender FX dan trading berdasarkan berita.
Ada banyak strategi trading berita: Anda harus menggunakan strategi yang menurut Anda paling sesuai dengan gaya trading Anda. FBS, selain menyediakan semua layanan yang diperlukan untuk trading, juga memiliki semua informasi penting untuk kebutuhan setiap trader. Periksa seksi berita kami untuk mengetahui kemungkinan pergerakan pasar.
Bahkan jika Anda bukan tipe orang yang trading berdasarkan berita, Anda tetap harus memeriksa kalender ekonomi trading atau membaca tentang peristiwa ekonomi saat ini secara teratur karena kemungkinan besar akan mempengaruhi volatilitas pasar.
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Apakah kalender ekonomi diperbarui secara real-time?
Kalender peristiwa ekonomi utama kami diperbarui secara otomatis saat laporan keluar. FBS hadir menyediakan pembaruan kalender ekonomi secara tepat waktu, tetapi kami tidak dapat dimintai pertanggungjawaban atas penundaan apa pun karena arus peristiwa berita trading yang terkadang tidak moderat.
Kalender Ekonomi
Daftar berita ekonomi yang penting
Waktu
Dampak
Mata uang
Peristiwa
Sebelumnya
Ramalan
Sebenarnya
May 03, 2024
00:00
CNY
May Day
{previous}
{forecast}
{actual}
00:00
JPY
Constitution Memorial Day
{previous}
{forecast}
{actual}
00:45
ZAR
Total New Vehicle Sales
{previous}
44.235K
{forecast}
{actual}
38.172K
In South Africa, total vehicle sales measure the total number of vehicles sold including buses and heavy vehicles in the reported month.
01:30
AUD
Investment Lending for Homes
{previous}
1.2%
{forecast}
{actual}
3.8%
01:30
AUD
Home Loans MoM
{previous}
1.5%
{forecast}
1%
{actual}
2.8%
In Australia, Home Loans record the value of new loans granted for owner-occupied homes. A housing unit is said to be owner-occupied if the owner or co-owner lives in the unit. It is a leading indicator of demand in the housing market.
05:00
SGD
Retail Sales YoY
{previous}
8.6%
{forecast}
{actual}
2.7%
In Singapore, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.
05:00
SGD
Retail Sales MoM
{previous}
3.1%
{forecast}
{actual}
-1%
In Singapore, the Retail sales report provides an aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services over a specific time period. In Singapore, Retail sales are seasonal, volatile and relatively important to the overall economy.
06:45
EUR
Industrial Production MoM
{previous}
0.2%
{forecast}
0.3%
{actual}
-0.3%
In France, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 86 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: Food products and beverages (13 percent of total production); machinery and equipment goods (13 percent), of which computer, electronic and optical products (5 percent); basic metals and fabricated metal products (12 percent); other manufacturing, repair and installation of machinery and equipment (12 percent); transport equipment (10 percent); rubber and plastics products, and other non-metallic mineral products (8 percent); and chemicals and chemical products (6 percent). Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning account for 11 percent of total output, Water supply, sewerage, waste management and remediation account for 1 percent and Mining and quarrying account also for 1 percent.
06:45
EUR
Budget Balance
{previous}
€-44B
{forecast}
{actual}
€-52.8B
The government budget balance is the difference between government revenues and expenses, including the treasure special component. The budget is balanced when outlays equal to receipts, the country reports budget surplus when revenues are higher than expenses and deficit when expenses exceed the revenues.
07:00
TRY
Inflation Rate MoM
{previous}
3.16%
{forecast}
3.40%
{actual}
3.18%
Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.
07:00
TRY
CPI
{previous}
2139.47
{forecast}
{actual}
In Turkey, the most important categories in the consumer price index are food and non-alcoholic beverages (23.7 percent of total weight); housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels (15.9 percent of total weight) and transportation (14.3 percent). Others include: furnishings, household equipment and routine maintenance (8 percent); hotels, cafes and restaurants (7.5 percent); clothing and footwear (7.4 percent); alcoholic beverages and tobacco (5 percent). The index also includes miscellaneous goods and services (4.7 percent); communication (4.4 percent); recreation and culture (3.8 percent); health (2.7 percent) and education (2.6 percent).
07:00
TRY
PPI MoM
{previous}
3.29%
{forecast}
{actual}
3.60%
In Turkey, the Producer Price Inflation MoM measures a month-over-month change in the price of goods and services sold by manufacturers and producers in the wholesale market.
07:00
TRY
Inflation Rate YoY
{previous}
68.5%
{forecast}
70.33%
{actual}
69.8%
In Turkey, the most important categories in the Consumer Price Index are Food & Non-alcoholic Beverages (25% of the total weight); Transportation (17%); Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas & Other Fuels (14%). Others include: Furnishings, Household Equipment & Routine Maintenance (9%); Hotels, Cafes & Restaurants (7%); Clothing & Footwear (6%); and Miscellaneous Goods & Services (5%). The index also includes: Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco (4%), Communications (4%) and Education (2%).
07:00
TRY
PPI YoY
{previous}
51.47%
{forecast}
{actual}
55.66%
Producer prices change refers to year over year change in price of goods and services sold by manufacturers and producers in the wholesale market during a given period.
07:50
TRY
Exports Prel
{previous}
$22.57B
{forecast}
{actual}
$19.30B
Turkey's major exports are: machinery and transport equipment (31 percent of total exports), of which road vehicles (15 percent) and electrical machinery, apparatus and appliances (6 percent); manufactured goods (25 percent), of which textile yarn, fabrics, made-up articles (7 percent), iron and steel (6 percent) and manufactures of metals (4 percent); miscellaneous manufactured articles (18 percent), of which articles of apparel and clothing accessories (10 percent); food and live animals (9 percent), of which fruits and vegetables (4 percent); chemicals and related products (6 percent); and gold,non-monetary (4 percent). Turkey's main export partners were: Germany (10 percent of total exports); the UK, the UAE, Iraq and the US (6 percent each); Italy (5 percent); France and Spain (4 percent each).
07:50
TRY
Balance of Trade Prel
{previous}
$-7.52B
{forecast}
{actual}
$-9.9B
The Turkish trade balance has been in deficit since 1947. Turkey major exports are road vehicles, textiles, iron and steel, clothing and food, while imports were machinery and transport equipment, manufactured goods, mineral fuels and lubricants and chemicals. The biggest trade deficits were recorded with China, Russia, Germany, South Korea, Switzerland, India, Iran and Japan; and the largest surpluses were recorded with Iraq, the UAE, the UK, Israel, Syria, Northern Cyprus and Azerbaijan.
07:50
TRY
Imports Prel
{previous}
$29.91B
{forecast}
{actual}
$29.2B
Turkey's main imports are machinery and transport equipment (31 percent of total imports), of which road vehicles (7 percent) and electrical machinery, apparatus and appliances (6 percent); manufactured goods (16 percent), of which iron and steel (5 percent); mineral fuels, lubricants and related materials (16 percent), of which petroleum and petroleum products (4 percent); chemicals and related products (13 percent), of which plastics (4 percent); gold, non-monetary (7 percent); crude materials, inedible, except fuels (7 percent); miscellaneous manufactured articles (6 percent); and food and live animals (4 percent). The country's main imports' sources were: China (10 percent of total imports); Germany (9 percent); Russia (8 percent); the US and Italy (5 percent each); France, Iran, Switzerland, South Korea, the UK, Spain and India (3 percent each).
08:00
BRL
IPC-Fipe Inflation MoM
{previous}
0.26%
{forecast}
{actual}
0.33%
In Brazil, the IPC-Fipe Inflation MoM measures month-on-month inflation within the boundaries of the city of Sao Paulo and does not include prices in the wider metropolitan area. Economists see the FIPE index as an early gauge of Brazil's benchmark IPCA inflation index, which the central bank targets when setting interest rates. The Consumer Prices Index for the City of São Paulo is the most traditional indicator of the evolution of the cost of living of families in São Paulo city and one of the oldest indicators in Brazil. It was first calculated on January 1939 by the Statistics and Documentation Division of the São Paulo City Government. In 1968, the duty of calculating the index was transferred to the Institute of Economic Research linked to the Economics Department of USP and later on to Fipe, after its creation in 1973.
08:00
EUR
ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters
{previous}
{forecast}
{actual}
In the Euro Area, benchmark interest rate is set by the Governing Council of the European Central Bank. The primary objective of the ECB’s monetary policy is to maintain price stability which is to keep inflation below, but close to 2 percent over the medium term. In times of prolonged low inflation and low interest rates, ECB may also adopt non-standard monetary policy measures, such as asset purchase programmes. The official interest rate is the Main refinancing operations rate.
08:30
GBP
S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMI Final
{previous}
{forecast}
{actual}
The UK Composite PMI is a weighted average of the Manufacturing Output Index and the Services Business Activity Index.
